"LandepNews"
Tanks Shell Homs
On Thursday, activists blamed the government for the death of 12 people, and on Friday the government resumed the shelling of the city of Homs and of its outskirts. The Local Coordination Committees on Friday demanded that the people take it to the streets in a renewed protest against the regime.
The Arab League on Wednesday announced it had brokered an agreement that would put an end to violence and to crackdown in the country. The move came after the delegation of the Arab League visited the restive country and reported that some sort of openness was being seen in the Syrian leaders toward settling the conflict that had been going on for months.
The Arab leaders told the Syrian regime in Cairo on Wednesday that they had two more weeks to pull out the armored vehicles from the streets and to stop killing people, to engage in talks with the opposition and to implement reforms.
The regime in Damascus responded, rather surprisingly, considering that they had rejected the same proposition twice before, that they would comply and end violence.
On Wednesday, the opposition delegation in Cairo told the Arab leaders that they were not looking for any negotiations with Assad’s regime, and that the only way they approved was the change of power.
They repeated what they had told the Arab delegation last week, that there was no motif to cooperate with Assad’s regime, and that the only talks imaginable with it were the ones referring to the transfer of power.
The new proposition the Arab League made comes after another term they gave Bashar al-Assad to put an end to violence two weeks ago. The Turks before them had given the same timeline in August, and the UN Human Rights before them, and the regime was forced to break all deadlines because the people in Syria refuse to stop protesting, and it would seem that Assad is committed to do whatever it takes to tone them down, or even to shut them up altogether.
Soon after the first time the Arab League urged the regime to stop the violence, Bashar al Assad’s regime staged a series of pro-governmental rallies in Damascus, Aleppo, Latakia and even in distant desert oases. All these manifestations came in contradiction with what was really going on in the cities of Hama, Homs, and in other zones, where people, galvanized by the unexpected success of the Libyan revolution, were telling the president that he was next, referring to the demise of the Libyan leader.
Analysts consider that since Qaddafi’s violent demise, Bashar al-Assad has shown a mutation in his approach of the unrest, in the sense that he fell compelled to threaten the Western countries that should they approach the borders of Syria the country would become a new Afghanistan, or, in his words, “ten Afghanistans,” that Syria was the “fault line” and any attack on it would trigger an earthquake.
Later reports indicate that Assad took the threats he made seriously and ordered the mining of the border zones with the countries in the neighborhood so that an invasion be made more dangerous.
The unsatisfying reports he received from the front line, where 20 of his soldiers were killed in one day, showing that the number of defectors had grown enough to inflict serious damages in the governmental forces, made him even more anxious.
The words of the Chinese officials, who said that what was going on in Syria was unacceptable, combined to those of the Russians, who had said a few weeks before that his regime either made reform or stepped down, might have given him the impression that even the two great countries that vetoed a resolution at the UN that would have condemned the Syrian crackdown were tired of waiting and had no interest of staining their reputation with the blood of the people who die in the streets of the Syrian cities.
A military intervention in Syria is out the question, the Western leaders say, adding that it would be detrimental for the stability of the entire region. Even though, following the end of the conflict in Libya, and the its outcome, the Syrian people have demanded a no-fly zone imposed by NATO in their country as well. The Western wavering reassures Assad that he could manage to remain in office if he could crush the voice that are contesting his rule.
No Arab leader is willing to take a radical stance on Syria, in a year that is called already the year of the Arab Spring. Bashar al-Assad’s situation is highly different from that of Muammar al-Qaddafi. By the time he was expelled from the Arab League earlier this year, Qaddafi had already been a negligible presence in the organization, since he had shifted decades ago towards the African Union, and was trying to assert himself as an African leader more than an Arab one.
Expelling Assad from the organization that was founded because of his country would create a precedence that could harm all the other leaders of the Arab world sooner or later. So, their job is to wait until somehow the president of Syria will stop.
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